October 4, 2022
Las Cruces, NM – A new poll released today in the race for New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District shows incumbent Republican Yvette Herrel trailing Democrat Gabe Vasquez by two points in the initial head to head, a very dangerous position for an incumbent 35 days away from the election. The poll was conducted by Global Strategy Group for the Vasquez campaign and a memo was shared exclusively with Inside Elections, which said “Herrell is certainly in danger of losing this cycle.” This poll comes after one released at the beginning of August where Vasquez led Herrell by one point, and shows him holding on to his lead.
“Yvette Herrell’s extreme agenda is not what New Mexicans want,” said Gabe Vasquez. “Yvette Herrell has voted against bills to lower health care costs, against protecting our veterans, against critical investments in our community and wants to pass a national abortion ban without exceptions. Her first vote in Congress was to undermine our Democracy and side with election deniers. We need a leader in Congress who will fight for workers, support our small businesses, lower costs for families and protect our democracy and a woman’s right to choose. I will be that leader.”
Redistricting moved the 2nd Congressional district from a Trump +12 to Biden +6 district and that is reflected in these results. Vasquez leads Herrell 45% to 43% in the initial ballot. This is a dangerous position for any incumbent, but it should be particularly worrying for Herrell that Vasquez has such a lead only five weeks away from the election.
This district was an early pick by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee as one of the top pick-up opportunities in the country. The DCCC named Gabe Vasquez to their Red to Blue list of top candidates in March.
With 35 days before the election in November, New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District will be a key race in who will control the House of Representatives after the midterms.